Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TON11419 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-14 1.108009 1.259197 1.423947 1.616890 1.836776 2.079706 2.368658
2025-12-21 0.856769 1.057712 1.295752 1.598916 1.975370 2.428288 3.015856
2025-12-28 0.744588 0.973616 1.261152 1.649454 2.161526 2.815690 3.718031
2026-01-04 0.638799 0.875049 1.185938 1.626253 2.236087 3.054256 4.241036
2026-01-11 0.579593 0.826698 1.165459 1.665607 2.388643 3.401245 4.936450
2026-01-18 0.522063 0.771846 1.126957 1.671016 2.488199 3.677439 5.553346
2026-01-25 0.467056 0.713304 1.075108 1.648356 2.539846 3.883378 6.080746
2026-02-01 0.417020 0.656153 1.018296 1.610101 2.560437 4.039649 6.541318
2026-02-08 0.374644 0.606054 0.966515 1.572818 2.576044 4.185481 6.994226
2026-02-15 0.348929 0.579580 0.948647 1.586783 2.673399 4.467834 7.695316
2026-02-22 0.322145 0.548549 0.920091 1.579407 2.732856 4.690453 8.313284
2026-03-01 0.296303 0.516539 0.886705 1.559951 2.768384 4.873282 8.875950
2026-03-08 0.265417 0.475452 0.838387 1.517605 2.773651 5.028619 9.454545
2026-03-15 0.241371 0.444500 0.805538 1.501172 2.827330 5.282893 10.261382
2026-03-22 0.229375 0.433944 0.807672 1.548531 3.003587 5.780626 11.592961
2026-03-29 0.209541 0.406464 0.775532 1.526787 3.043786 6.022033 12.443863
2026-04-05 0.199065 0.395765 0.773802 1.563669 3.202949 6.512444 13.862069
2026-04-12 0.185962 0.378440 0.757291 1.568739 3.297281 6.881085 15.066979
2026-04-19 0.171405 0.356637 0.729590 1.547502 3.333668 7.132240 16.045351
2026-04-26 0.156897 0.333447 0.696719 1.511648 3.334254 7.306091 16.870223
2026-05-03 0.143931 0.312222 0.665842 1.476703 3.332616 7.473955 17.700359
2026-05-10 0.136352 0.301902 0.657140 1.489792 3.440271 7.897325 19.185333
2026-05-17 0.127771 0.288508 0.640430 1.482879 3.500757 8.218493 20.461553